Abacos Bahamas

Abaco Weather

Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
757880808588898888868380
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
636766707376777576747171
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
6.36.62.81.5115.64.67.45.42.76.84.6
Number of Rain Days
8755111391316695

Abaco Tide Tables

Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast

5/28/2018 Forecast
High: 80 F Low: 77 F Mostly cloudy, a thunderstorm

Currently: Thunderstorms: 79F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 79 °F and Thunderstorms

5/27/2018 Forecast
High: 79 F Low: 77 F A shower and t-storm around

Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Eleuthera Weather Forecast

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

Real Time GOES Imagery - Western Atlantic:

Infrared Ch. 2 Loop, Ch. 4 Loop and Water Vapor Loop

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Local Statement for Mobile, AL / Pensacola, FL

Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 4:00 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map

Subtropical Storm Alberto Link to Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 20:42:40 GMT

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:42 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Graphics

Subtropical Storm Alberto 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 20:41:36 GMT

Subtropical Storm Alberto 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 20:41:36 GMT

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:41 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Wind Speed Probabilities Number 10

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018


000
FONT11 KNHC 272039
PWSAT1
                                                                    
SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER  10       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018               
2100 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS LOCATED NEAR   
LATITUDE 28.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 45 KTS...50 MPH...85 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z SUN AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z SUN 06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z MON 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
ATLANTA GA     34  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   1( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
KINGS BAY GA   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
WAYCROSS GA    34  2   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
MAYPORT NS FL  34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
JACKSONVILLE   34  1   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GAINESVILLE FL 34  3   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
THE VILLAGES   34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
TAMPA FL       34  2   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
CEDAR KEY FL   34  7   2( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)   X( 9)
 
TALLAHASSEE FL 34 24   8(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
 
ST MARKS FL    34 29   5(34)   1(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)   X(35)
 
APALACHICOLA   34 73   6(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)   X(79)
APALACHICOLA   50  4   3( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
GFMX 290N 850W 34 97   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)   X(97)
GFMX 290N 850W 50  9   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
PANAMA CITY FL 34 61  22(83)   1(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)   X(84)
PANAMA CITY FL 50  4   9(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)   X(13)
 
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 24  39(63)   2(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)   X(65)
DESTIN EXEC AP 50  1   9(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
COLUMBUS GA    34  2   5( 7)   6(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
BIRMINGHAM AL  34  X   3( 3)   6( 9)   6(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
MONTGOMERY AL  34  2   8(10)  14(24)   2(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
 
WHITING FLD FL 34  8  28(36)   3(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)   X(39)
WHITING FLD FL 50  X   4( 4)   1( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PENSACOLA FL   34  9  23(32)   2(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)   X(34)
PENSACOLA FL   50  X   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GFMX 290N 870W 34 18   6(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
 
MOBILE AL      34  1   6( 7)   1( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
 
GULFPORT MS    34  1   2( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
STENNIS MS     34  1   1( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BROWN                                                    

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:39 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Forecast Discussion Number 10

Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018


000
WTNT41 KNHC 272039
TCDAT1

Subtropical Storm Alberto Discussion Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012018
400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

After the increase in organization overnight and this morning, dry
mid-level air has wrapped about three-quarters of the way around
the circulation, resulting in an overall decrease in deep
convection in all but the southeastern portion of the circulation.
Earlier ASCAT and reconnaissance aircraft data supported an initial
wind speed of 45 kt, and that intensity will be maintained for this
advisory.  Another reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to
investigate the system this evening.

The main question regarding the future intensity of Alberto is
whether or not the dry air will continue to be ingested near the
center of the cyclone, or whether deep convection is able to
regenerate overnight while the system is over marginally warm
SSTs and within a low shear environment.  It is assumed that some
convection will redevelop to help maintain Alberto's intensity, but
that the environment will not be favorable enough to allow for
significant strengthening.  As a result, little change in intensity
is forecast before Alberto reaches the northern Gulf Coast on
Monday.

Alberto appears to have turned north-northwestward with an initial
motion estimate of 345/12 kt. The cyclone should move northwestward
to north-northwestward tonight before turning back northward on
Monday as it becomes vertically aligned with the upper-level low.
After that time, the system should continue moving northward between
the western Atlantic ridge and a mid-upper level trough that
approaches the central U.S. around mid-week.  The dynamical models
are in much better agreement on Alberto's track during the next 2 to
3 days, and the NHC track has been been adjusted accordingly.  The
new track is slightly west of and slower than the previous track
during the first 24 to 36 hours.

KEY MESSAGES:

1.  The risk of flooding and flash flooding over western Cuba, the
Florida Keys, and south Florida will continue through Monday.  Heavy
rain and the risk of flooding will begin across the Florida
Panhandle tonight, then spread northward from the Florida Panhandle
into much of Alabama, western Georgia, and Tennessee through
Tuesday.

2.  A hazardous storm surge is possible along portions of the
eastern Gulf Coast tonight and tomorrow, including areas well east
of the track of Alberto's center.  Residents in the storm surge
watch area are encouraged to follow guidance given by their local
government officials.

3. Tropical storm conditions are likely within portions of the
tropical storm warning area tonight and tomorrow.

4. Dangerous surf and rip current conditions will continue to
affect portions of the eastern and northern Gulf Coast through
Monday.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/2100Z 28.0N  85.2W   45 KT  50 MPH
 12H  28/0600Z 29.1N  85.7W   45 KT  50 MPH...TROPICAL STORM
 24H  28/1800Z 30.4N  86.2W   45 KT  50 MPH...INLAND
 36H  29/0600Z 32.2N  86.6W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 48H  29/1800Z 34.7N  87.0W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 72H  30/1800Z 39.7N  86.9W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 96H  31/1800Z 45.1N  83.1W   15 KT  15 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
120H  01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Brown

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:39 pm

Summary for Subtropical Storm Alberto (AT1/AL012018)

...ALBERTO TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH... As of 4:00 PM CDT Sun May 27 the center of Alberto was located near 28.0, -85.2 with movement NNW at 12 mph. The minimum central pressure was 994 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 50 mph.

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:38 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Public Advisory Number 10

Issued at 400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018


000
WTNT31 KNHC 272038
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
Subtropical Storm Alberto Advisory Number  10
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL012018
400 PM CDT Sun May 27 2018

...ALBERTO TURNS NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD WITH NO CHANGE IN STRENGTH...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.0N 85.2W
ABOUT 165 MI...265 KM W OF TAMPA FLORIDA
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF APALACHICOLA FLORIDA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 345 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...994 MB...29.36 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Tropical Storm Warning along the west coast of Florida has been
discontinued south of the Anclote River.

The Storm Surge Watch has been discontinued along the northern Gulf
Coast west of Navarre, Florida.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Crystal River to Navarre Florida

A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Anclote River to the Mississippi/Alabama border

A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations. For a depiction of areas at
risk, please see the National Weather Service Storm Surge
Watch/Warning Graphic, available at hurricanes.gov.

A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area.

For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Subtropical Storm Alberto
was located near latitude 28.0 North, longitude 85.2 West.  The
storm is moving toward the north-northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h).  A
north-northwest motion with some decrease in forward speed is
expected tonight.  A north-northwestward to northward motion is
expected Monday through Wednesday.  On the forecast track, the
center of Alberto will move over the northern Gulf of Mexico tonight
and approach the northern Gulf Coast in the warning area on Monday.
Heavy rainfall and tropical storm conditions will likely reach the
northern Gulf Coast well before the arrival of the center of
Alberto.  Alberto is expected to move inland into the Tennessee
Valley on Tuesday and Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 50 mph (85 km/h) with higher gusts.
Little change in strength is forecast before Alberto reaches the
northern Gulf Coast.  Steady weakening is expected after landfall,
and Alberto is forecast to become a tropical depression Monday night
or Tuesday.

Winds of 40 mph extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km) from the
center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 994 mb (29.36 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Alberto is expected to produce the following rain
accumulations through Tuesday:

Central Cuba...Additional 5 to 10 inches, isolated storm-totals of
20-25 inches.

The Florida panhandle into much of Alabama and western Georgia...4
to 8 inches, isolated 12 inches.

The Florida Keys and south Florida...Additional 3 to 6 inches,
isolated storm totals of 10 inches.

Rest of the Florida peninsula...1 to 4 inches.

Rest of the Southeast and Tennessee Valley into the lower mid
Atlantic from Tennessee east through the Carolinas...2 to 6 inches.

Rains in Cuba could produce life-threatening flash floods and
mudslides.  Flooding and flash flooding are possible in the
southeast United States, including Florida.

WIND:  Tropical storm conditions will spread northward within
the warning area tonight and continue through Monday.

STORM SURGE:  The combination of storm surge and the tide will cause
normally dry areas near the coast to be flooded by rising waters
moving inland from the shoreline.  The water could reach the
following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...

Crystal River to Navarre Florida...2 to 4 ft

The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast. Surge-
related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances.  For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.

TORNADOES:  Isolated tornadoes are possible through tonight across
the central and northern Florida peninsula.

SURF:  Swells generated by Alberto will affect the eastern and
northern Gulf Coast through Tuesday.  These swells are likely
to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. For more
information, consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 700 PM CDT.
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:38 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Forecast Advisory Number 10

Issued at 2100 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018


000
WTNT21 KNHC 272038
TCMAT1

SUBTROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL012018
2100 UTC SUN MAY 27 2018

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING ALONG THE WEST COAST OF FLORIDA HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED SOUTH OF THE ANCLOTE RIVER.

THE STORM SURGE WATCH HAS BEEN DISCONTINUED ALONG THE NORTHERN GULF
COAST WEST OF NAVARRE... FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CRYSTAL RIVER TO NAVARRE FLORIDA

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO THE MISSISSIPPI/ALABAMA BORDER

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS. FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT
RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE STORM SURGE
WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT HURRICANES.GOV.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

SUBTROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  85.2W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT.......100NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.0N  85.2W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.7N  84.8W

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 29.1N  85.7W...TROPICAL STORM
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...100NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 30.4N  86.2W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 32.2N  86.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 34.7N  87.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 39.7N  86.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/1800Z 45.1N  83.1W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.0N  85.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN


Posted on 27 May 2018 | 3:38 pm

Local Statement for Tampa Bay Area, FL

Issued at 211 PM EDT Sun May 27 2018

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 1:11 pm

Subtropical Storm Alberto Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map

Subtropical Storm Alberto Link to Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Sun, 27 May 2018 15:58:29 GMT

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 10:58 am

Local Statement for Tallahassee, FL

Issued at 1144 AM EDT Sun May 27 2018 /1044 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018/

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 10:45 am

Local Statement for New Orleans / Baton Rouge, LA

Issued at 1007 AM CDT Sun May 27 2018

Posted on 27 May 2018 | 10:07 am

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