Abacos Bahamas

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Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
757880808588898888868380
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
636766707376777576747171
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
6.36.62.81.5115.64.67.45.42.76.84.6
Number of Rain Days
8755111391316695

Abaco Tide Tables

Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast

10/1/2016 Forecast
High: 86 F Low: 82 F A shower or t-storm in spots

Currently: Intermittent Clouds: 82F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 82 °F and Intermittent Clouds

9/30/2016 Forecast
High: 86 F Low: 81 F A thunderstorm in spots

Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

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° Celsius    ° Fahrenheit
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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Discussion Number 8

Issued at 200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016


000
WTNT44 KNHC 300601
TCDAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL DISCUSSION NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016

This special advisory is being issued in lieu of the scheduled
intermediate advisory due to the rapid strengthening of Matthew
during the past few hours.  An Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft reported flight-level winds of 99 kt in the northern
eyewall at 700 mb, along with surface wind estimates of 80-85 kt
from the SFMR instrument.  In addition, the central pressure has
fallen to 979 mb.  Based on these data, the initial intensity is
increased to 85 kt.  This also requires significant changes to the
intensity forecast, which now calls for Matthew to reach major
hurricane status in 24 hours and maintain it through 96 hours.  It
is unclear how long the rapid strengthening will continue, and the
revised forecast could be conservative.

There are no changes to the forecast track from the previous
regular advisory.

It should be noted that despite the rapid intensification, the
aircraft data, along with recent scatterometer data, show that the
tropical-storm-force winds still extend only a short distance
over the southern semicircle.  Based on this, no warnings are
required for Aruba, Curacao, or Colombia at this time.  A warning
might be necessary if the southern radii expand or if the center
moves to the south of the forecast track.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  30/0600Z 14.1N  69.3W   85 KT 100 MPH
 12H  30/1200Z 14.0N  70.4W   95 KT 110 MPH
 24H  01/0000Z 13.9N  72.0W  100 KT 115 MPH
 36H  01/1200Z 13.8N  73.0W  105 KT 120 MPH
 48H  02/0000Z 14.1N  74.0W  105 KT 120 MPH
 72H  03/0000Z 16.4N  75.3W  105 KT 120 MPH
 96H  04/0000Z 19.7N  75.6W   90 KT 105 MPH
120H  05/0000Z 23.5N  75.5W   85 KT 100 MPH

$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 30 September 2016 | 1:01 am

Hurricane MATTHEW Graphics

Hurricane MATTHEW 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 30 Sep 2016 06:00:14 GMT

Hurricane MATTHEW 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 30 Sep 2016 05:59:33 GMT

Posted on 30 September 2016 | 1:00 am

Hurricane MATTHEW Wind Speed Probabilities Number 8

Issued at 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016


000
FONT14 KNHC 300600
PWSAT4
                                                                    
HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   8       
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016               
0600 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016                                            
                                                                    
AT 0600Z THE CENTER OF HURRICANE MATTHEW WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE  
14.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 69.3 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
85 KTS...100 MPH...155 KM/H.                                        
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 64 KT ARE SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE         
PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                                  
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
DAYTONA BEACH  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
ORLANDO FL     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
 
COCOA BEACH FL 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
PATRICK AFB    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
FT PIERCE FL   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)
 
W PALM BEACH   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)
 
FT LAUDERDALE  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   7( 8)
 
MIAMI FL       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
MARATHON FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)
 
KEY WEST FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   3( 5)
 
NAPLES FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)
 
FT MYERS FL    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
VENICE FL      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
PT GALLINAS    34  6  42(48)   9(57)   4(61)   3(64)   X(64)   X(64)
PT GALLINAS    50  2   6( 8)   6(14)   3(17)   2(19)   X(19)   X(19)
PT GALLINAS    64  X   4( 4)   3( 7)   2( 9)   1(10)   X(10)   X(10)
 
CURACAO        34  6   4(10)   3(13)   2(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
 
GRAND BAHAMA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  10(12)
GRAND BAHAMA   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
GRAND BAHAMA   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
NEW PROVIDENCE 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)  17(23)
NEW PROVIDENCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   7( 9)
NEW PROVIDENCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
ANDROS         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   9( 9)  17(26)
ANDROS         50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   7(10)
ANDROS         64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
GREAT EXUMA    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  21(38)
GREAT EXUMA    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)  10(17)
GREAT EXUMA    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)
 
SAN SALVADOR   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  14(14)  20(34)
SAN SALVADOR   50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  10(13)
SAN SALVADOR   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
MAYAGUANA      34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  14(16)  13(29)
MAYAGUANA      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   5( 9)
MAYAGUANA      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
GRAND TURK     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)   5(15)
GRAND TURK     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)
GRAND TURK     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
HAVANA         34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
ISLE OF PINES  34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
CIENFUEGOS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   6(12)
CIENFUEGOS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   2( 3)
CIENFUEGOS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)
 
CAMAGUEY       34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)  18(21)  10(31)
CAMAGUEY       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   5(11)
CAMAGUEY       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   2( 4)
 
GUANTANAMO BAY 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  16(17)  29(46)   9(55)
GUANTANAMO BAY 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  15(20)   5(25)
GUANTANAMO BAY 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   6( 7)   2( 9)
 
GRAND CAYMAN   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   5( 6)   2( 8)
GRAND CAYMAN   64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)
 
MONTEGO BAY    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)  20(38)   4(42)
MONTEGO BAY    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)  12(17)   2(19)
MONTEGO BAY    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)   6( 8)   1( 9)
 
KINGSTON       34  X   X( X)   1( 1)   4( 5)  32(37)  22(59)   3(62)
KINGSTON       50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  13(13)  16(29)   2(31)
KINGSTON       64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   7( 7)   9(16)   1(17)
 
LES CAYES      34  X   4( 4)   2( 6)   5(11)  27(38)  14(52)   3(55)
LES CAYES      50  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  10(11)   9(20)   2(22)
LES CAYES      64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   5( 5)   4( 9)   1(10)
 
PORT-AU-PRINCE 34  1   3( 4)   2( 6)   3( 9)  14(23)  10(33)   2(35)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   4( 7)   1( 8)
PORT-AU-PRINCE 64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   1( 3)
 
CAPE BEATA     34  5   5(10)   3(13)   3(16)   9(25)   5(30)   1(31)
CAPE BEATA     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)
CAPE BEATA     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   1( 2)   X( 2)
 
PUERTO PLATA   34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)   7(11)   3(14)
 
SANTO DOMINGO  34  4   1( 5)   1( 6)   1( 7)   3(10)   3(13)   1(14)
 
PONCE PR       34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
AGUADILLA PR   34  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

Posted on 30 September 2016 | 1:00 am

Hurricane MATTHEW Public Advisory Number 8

Issued at 200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016


000
WTNT34 KNHC 300559
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
200 AM AST FRI SEP 30 2016

...MATTHEW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE...


SUMMARY OF 200 AM AST...0600 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...14.1N 69.3W
ABOUT 125 MI...205 KM N OF CURACAO
ABOUT 565 MI...910 KM ESE OF KINGSTON JAMAICA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...100 MPH...155 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 14 MPH...22 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...979 MB...28.91 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

The Government of the Netherlands has discontinued the Tropical
Storm Watch for Bonaire.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Curacao and Aruba
* Colombia/Venezuela border to Riohacha

A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case within the next 24 to
36 hours.

Interests elsewhere along the coasts of Venezuela and Colombia
should monitor the progress of Matthew.  Interests in Jamaica,
Hispaniola, and eastern Cuba should also monitor the progress of
Matthew.

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 AM AST (0600 UTC), the center of Hurricane Matthew was
located near latitude 14.1 North, longitude 69.3 West. Matthew is
moving toward the west near 14 mph (22 km/h), and this general
motion with a decrease in forward speed is forecast during the next
day or two.

Reports from an Air Force Reserve Hurricane Hunter aircraft indicate
that maximum sustained winds have increased to near 100 mph (155
km/h) with higher gusts.  Additional strengthening is forecast
during the next 48 hours, and Matthew could become a major hurricane
later today or tonight.

Hurricane-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the
center, and tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 185
miles (295 km).

The minimum central pressure reported by the Hurricane Hunter is 979
mb (28.91 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are possible in Curacao and Aruba
this morning.  Tropical storm conditions are possible over portions
of the watch area in Colombia beginning later today.

RAINFALL:  Rainfall totals of 2 to 4 inches with isolated higher
amounts are expected over Aruba, Bonaire and Curacao through
Saturday.

SURF:  Swells generated by Matthew are expected to affect portions
of the coasts of Puerto Rico, Hispaniola, Aruba, Bonaire, Curacao,
Venezuela, and Colombia during the next few days.  These swells are
likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions.
Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 30 September 2016 | 12:59 am

Hurricane MATTHEW Forecast Advisory Number 8

Issued at 0600 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016


000
WTNT24 KNHC 300559
TCMAT4

HURRICANE MATTHEW SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL142016
0600 UTC FRI SEP 30 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE GOVERNMENT OF THE NETHERLANDS HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL
STORM WATCH FOR BONAIRE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CURACAO AND ARUBA
* COLOMBIA/VENEZUELA BORDER TO RIOHACHA

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT 24 TO
36 HOURS.

INTERESTS ELSEWHERE ALONG THE COASTS OF VENEZUELA AND COLOMBIA
SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MATTHEW.  INTERESTS IN JAMAICA...
HISPANIOLA...AND EASTERN CUBA SHOULD ALSO MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF
MATTHEW.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  69.3W AT 30/0600Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  12 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  979 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  85 KT WITH GUSTS TO 105 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  15SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  30SE  20SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 100SE  50SW 140NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 150SE 120SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N  69.3W AT 30/0600Z
AT 30/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.2N  68.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 14.0N  70.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  40NW.
50 KT... 90NE  40SE  25SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE  60SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 13.9N  72.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 125 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  25SE  25SW  45NW.
50 KT... 90NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.8N  73.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  30SE  25SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  50SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.1N  74.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  60SE  60SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 16.4N  75.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...140NE  80SE  60SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0000Z 19.7N  75.6W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 23.5N  75.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N  69.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN


Posted on 30 September 2016 | 12:59 am

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 300537
TWOAT

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
200 AM EDT FRI SEP 30 2016

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane
Matthew, located over the east-central Caribbean Sea.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

$$
Forecaster Berg

Posted on 30 September 2016 | 12:37 am

Summary for Hurricane MATTHEW (AT4/AL142016)

...MATTHEW RAPIDLY STRENGTHENS TO A CATEGORY 2 HURRICANE... As of 2:00 AM AST Fri Sep 30 the center of MATTHEW was located near 14.1, -69.3 with movement W at 14 mph. The minimum central pressure was 979 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 100 mph.

Posted on 30 September 2016 | 12:18 am

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