Abacos Bahamas

Abaco Weather

Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
757880808588898888868380
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
636766707376777576747171
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
6.36.62.81.5115.64.67.45.42.76.84.6
Number of Rain Days
8755111391316695

Abaco Tide Tables

Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast

8/16/2018 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 82 F Sunshine; pleasant

Currently: Mostly Sunny: 82F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 82 °F and Mostly Sunny

8/15/2018 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 83 F A passing morning shower

Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Eleuthera Weather Forecast

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

Real Time GOES Imagery - Western Atlantic:

Infrared Ch. 2 Loop, Ch. 4 Loop and Water Vapor Loop

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


757
ABNT20 KNHC 151129
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Subtropical Depression Five located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.

&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Depression Five are issued under
WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Depression Five are issued under
WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.

$$
Forecaster Brown

Posted on 15 August 2018 | 6:29 am

Subtropical Depression Five Forecast Discussion Number 1

Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018


684 
WTNT45 KNHC 150839
TCDAT5

Subtropical Depression Five Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052018
500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018

The low pressure system that the National Hurricane Center has been
monitoring over the central Atlantic Ocean has developed
sufficently organized deep convection and a well-defined center.
Since the system has a large radius of maximum wind and is
co-located with an upper-level low, it is being classified as a
subtropical depression.  The initial intensity is set to a possibly
conservative 30 kt based on an earlier ASCAT pass.  This value
is slightly below the latest satellite intensity estimate from TAFB.
It is interesting to note that so far this hurricane season, four of
the five systems have been a subtropical cyclone at some point in
their lifetimes.

Slow strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours or so while
the system remains over warm SSTs and in fairly low wind shear
conditions.  After that time, sharply colder waters, drier air, and
a significant increase in wind shear should cause extratropical
transition in about 48 hours, or sooner, and a gradual weakening.
The models show the post-tropical system merging with a frontal zone
in 3 to 4 days.

The subtropical depression is moving slowly northward at about 4
kt.  A north to north-northeastward motion is expected today as the
system moves on the western periphery of a mid-level ridge.  A mid-
to upper-level trough currently over the northeastern U.S. is
anticipated to approach the cyclone, and that feature should cause
the system to accelerate northeastward on Thursday and Friday.
The models are in good agreement, and the NHC track forecast lies
near the middle of the guidance envelope.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  15/0900Z 37.6N  45.6W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  15/1800Z 38.5N  45.4W   35 KT  40 MPH
 24H  16/0600Z 40.2N  44.4W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  16/1800Z 42.5N  41.9W   45 KT  50 MPH
 48H  17/0600Z 45.1N  37.9W   45 KT  50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  18/0600Z 51.0N  24.0W   40 KT  45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 96H  19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:39 am

Subtropical Depression Five Graphics

Subtropical Depression Five 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 15 Aug 2018 08:38:30 GMT

Subtropical Depression Five 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 15 Aug 2018 09:26:41 GMT

Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:38 am

Subtropical Depression Five Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018


226 
FONT15 KNHC 150837
PWSAT5
                                                                    
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1     
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052018               
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018                                            
                                                                    
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR 
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED    
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI                                               

Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:37 am

Summary for Subtropical Depression Five (AT5/AL052018)

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC... As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Aug 15 the center of Five was located near 37.6, -45.6 with movement N at 5 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.

Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:37 am

Subtropical Depression Five Public Advisory Number 1

Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018


921 
WTNT35 KNHC 150837
TCPAT5

BULLETIN
Subtropical Depression Five Advisory Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL052018
500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018

...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...


SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.6N 45.6W
ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Five
was located near latitude 37.6 North, longitude 45.6 West. The
subtropical depression is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7
km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward
speed is expected today.  A faster northeastward motion is forecast
to occur on Thursday and Friday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the
subtropical depression is expected to become a subtropical storm
later today.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.

$$
Forecaster Cangialosi


Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:37 am

Subtropical Depression Five Forecast Advisory Number 1

Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018


645 
WTNT25 KNHC 150836
TCMAT5

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL052018
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N  45.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N  45.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N  45.6W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.5N  45.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.2N  44.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 42.5N  41.9W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.1N  37.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  90SE  60SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 51.0N  24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  90SE  90SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N  45.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI



Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:36 am

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