Abaco Weather
Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F° |
| 75 | 78 | 80 | 80 | 85 | 88 | 89 | 88 | 88 | 86 | 83 | 80 |
| Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F° |
| 63 | 67 | 66 | 70 | 73 | 76 | 77 | 75 | 76 | 74 | 71 | 71 |
| Monthly Rainfall - Inches |
| 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 11 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Number of Rain Days |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
Abaco Tide Tables
Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast
The AccuWeather.com RSS Center
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10/8/2025 Forecast
High: 86 F Low: 75 F A shower and t-storm; windy 
10/9/2025 Forecast
High: 84 F Low: 75 F A couple of thunderstorms
Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast
Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
Eleuthera Weather Forecast
Melbourne Florida Radar Map
NASA's Hurricane Resource Page
Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)
Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of America
Issued at 804 PM EDT
Posted on 31 December 1969 | 6:00 pm
Issued at 721 PM CDT
Posted on 31 December 1969 | 6:00 pm
Issued at 705 PM CDT
Posted on 31 December 1969 | 6:00 pm
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 20 Jul 2026 21:22:32 GMT
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 7:04 pm
Storm Surge Watch/Warning Map last updated Mon, 20 Jul 2026 23:57:42 GMT
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 6:57 pm
495
ABNT20 KNHC 202357
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jul 20 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on recently
upgraded Tropical Storm Bertha, located over the northeastern Gulf
of America.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Hagen
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 6:57 pm
Issued at 700 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 000
WTNT32 KNHC 202351
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Bertha Intermediate Advisory Number 6A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
700 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED
INTO TROPICAL STORM BERTHA...
SUMMARY OF 700 PM CDT...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...28.6N 86.0W
ABOUT 110 MI...180 KM S OF PANAMA CITY FLORIDA
ABOUT 190 MI...310 KM SE OF MOBILE ALABAMA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 300 DEGREES AT 3 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for...
* Alabama/Florida Border to the Mouth of the Mississippi River
A Tropical Storm Watch is in effect for...
* Ochlockonee River Florida westward to the Jefferson/Plaquemines
Parish border in Louisiana.
A Storm Surge Watch means there is a possibility of life-
threatening inundation, from rising water moving inland from the
coastline, in the indicated locations during the next 48 hours.
For a depiction of areas at risk, please see the National Weather
Service Storm Surge Watch/Warning Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov.
A Tropical Storm Watch means that tropical storm conditions are
possible within the watch area, in this case in the next 24 to 48
hours.
Additional watches or warnings may be required tonight or on
Tuesday.
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 700 PM CDT (0000 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Bertha was
located near latitude 28.6 North, longitude 86.0 West. Bertha has
been drifting erratically near 3 mph (6 km/h), but a northwestward
motion is expected tonight and Tuesday morning, followed by a
west-northwestward or westward motion. On the forecast track,
Bertha will move near or along the northern Gulf coast during the
next several days.
Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 40 mph (65 km/h)
with higher gusts. Some additional strengthening is possible
during the next day or so.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 70 miles (110 km)
from the center.
The minimum central pressure reported by a NOAA Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is 1004 mb (29.65 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Tropical Storm Bertha can be found in the Tropical
Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO header
WTNT42 KNHC.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are possible within the watch
area in the Florida Panhandle by late tonight into Tuesday. Tropical
storm conditions are possible within the remainder of the watch
area by late Tuesday night into Wednesday.
STORM SURGE: The combination of storm surge and the tide will
cause normally dry areas near the immediate coast to be flooded by
rising waters moving inland from the shoreline. The water could
reach the following heights above ground somewhere in the indicated
areas if the peak surge occurs at the time of high tide...
Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA to AL/FL Border...2-4 ft
Indian Pass, FL to Chassahowitzka, FL...1-3 ft
Morgan City, LA to Mouth of the Mississippi River, LA...1-3 ft
Lake Pontchartrain...1-3 ft
The deepest water will occur along the immediate coast.
Surge-related flooding depends on the relative timing of the surge
and the tidal cycle, and can vary greatly over short distances. For
information specific to your area, please see products issued by
your local National Weather Service forecast office.
For a complete depiction of areas at risk of storm surge
inundation, please see the National Weather Service Peak
Storm Surge Graphic, available at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?peakSurge.
RAINFALL: Bertha is expected to produce rainfall amounts of 2 to 4
inches with isolated higher totals around 8 inches through Friday
along the Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western
Florida to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern portions of
Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana. This rainfall may produce areas
of flash flooding, especially in urban areas.
For a complete depiction of forecast rainfall associated with
Bertha, please see the National Weather Service Storm Total Rainfall
Graphic available at hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?rainqpf and
the Flash Flood Risk graphic at
hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ero.
TORNADOES: An isolated tornado or two is possible over the Florida
Big Bend region this evening.
SURF: Swells generated by Bertha are affecting portions of the
Gulf coast of Florida and are likely to spread westward during
the week. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf
and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your
local weather office.
A depiction of rip current risk for the United States can be found
at: hurricanes.gov/graphics_at2.shtml?ripCurrents
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1000 PM CDT.
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 6:51 pm
...NOAA HURRICANE HUNTERS FIND THAT THE DEPRESSION HAS STRENGTHENED INTO TROPICAL STORM BERTHA... As of 7:00 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 the center of Bertha was located near 28.6, -86.0 with movement WNW at 3 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 6:51 pm
Potential Storm Surge Flooding Map last updated Mon, 20 Jul 2026 21:51:23 GMT
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 4:51 pm
Issued at 400 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026 200
WTNT42 KNHC 202048
TCDAT2
Tropical Depression Two Discussion Number 6
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022026
400 PM CDT Mon Jul 20 2026
The earlier aircraft mission into the depression found a minimum
central pressure of 1005 mb and maximum flight-level winds of 34
kt. ASCAT data from the western part of the circulation showed
winds below 35 kt, and the latest satellite intensity estimate from
TAFB was 30 kt. Based on these, the depression has not yet reached
tropical-storm strength and the initial intensity is held at 30 kt.
The low-level center has been moving erratically most of the day,
but the overall motion seems to be 305/3 kt. There is again little
change in the track forecast reasoning. The depression is in light
steering currents between two mid-level ridges, one to its
northwest centered over the central U. S. and one to its southeast
centered near the Bahamas. The U. S. ridge is expected to become a
little more dominant of a steering feature as it builds eastward.
The guidance is in overall agreement that the cyclone should move
slowly northwestward to west-northwestward for 36 h or so, followed
by a turn toward the west. However, there is some spread in the
guidance in the first 36-48 h about how close the center comes to
the northern Gulf Coast and how sharp the westward turn would be.
The new forecast track lies between these two clusters of models and
is a little to the north of the previous track. It should be noted
that strong northeasterly shear is forecast over the cyclone, which
could keep the center south of the forecast track due to the
effects of convective bursts. However, there are models such as the
ECMWF and Canadian that bring the system inland on the northern
Gulf coast.
The depression is experiencing moderate northeasterly shear, and
these conditions should continue for another 18-24 h. It is likely
that there will be convective bursts near and south of the center
during this time, and these should help intensify the cyclone to a
tropical storm. After that, the northeasterly shear should
increase, and the global models suggest it will get strong enough to
destroy the vertical integrity of the cyclone. This should halt
intensification and then cause weakening. The new intensity
forecast calls for a peak intensity of 45 kt in 36 h, and this is at
the upper edge of the intensity guidance. The new forecast also
calls for the system to weaken to a remnant low by 120 h, and based
on the dynamical model guidance there is a possibility it
could dissipate between 72-120 h due to shear and land interaction.
It should be noted that the aforementioned shear is likely to give
the cyclone a very asymmetric structure, with the bulk of the
rainfall and much of the wind expected to occur to the south of the
center.
Key Messages:
1. The depression is expected to gradually strengthen and could
bring tropical storm conditions to portions of the Gulf Coast from
the Florida Panhandle westward to southeastern Louisiana Tuesday
and Wednesday.
2. A Storm Surge Watch is in effect for the Alabama, Mississippi,
and southeastern Louisiana coasts, where a life-threatening storm
surge is possible.
3. Interests elsewhere in Louisiana and Texas should monitor the
progress of this system, as additional watches could be required for
portions of that area tonight or Tuesday.
4. Areas of flash flooding will be possible through Friday along the
Gulf Coast and adjacent inland locations from western Florida north
of Fort Myers to the Middle Texas Coast, including southern portions
of Alabama, Mississippi, and Louisiana.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 20/2100Z 28.7N 85.8W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 21/0600Z 29.0N 86.2W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 21/1800Z 29.3N 86.7W 40 KT 45 MPH
36H 22/0600Z 29.6N 87.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 22/1800Z 29.6N 88.5W 40 KT 45 MPH
60H 23/0600Z 29.6N 89.8W 35 KT 40 MPH...INLAND
72H 23/1800Z 29.5N 91.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...INLAND
96H 24/1800Z 29.5N 93.9W 25 KT 30 MPH...OVER WATER
120H 25/1800Z 29.4N 96.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/INLAND
$$
Forecaster Beven
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 3:48 pm
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2026 211
FONT12 KNHC 202048
PWSAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022026
2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2026
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
APALACHICOLA 34 3 3( 6) 2( 8) 1( 9) X( 9) X( 9) X( 9)
GFAM 290N 850W 34 10 4(14) 1(15) X(15) 1(16) X(16) X(16)
PANAMA CITY FL 34 4 8(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16) X(16) 1(17)
DESTIN EXEC AP 34 X 2( 2) 2( 4) 1( 5) X( 5) X( 5) X( 5)
WHITING FLD FL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
PENSACOLA FL 34 X 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
GFAM 290N 870W 34 22 27(49) 10(59) 1(60) X(60) X(60) X(60)
GFAM 290N 870W 50 1 4( 5) 4( 9) 1(10) X(10) X(10) X(10)
GFAM 290N 870W 64 X X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
MOBILE AL 34 X X( X) 3( 3) 2( 5) 1( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
GULFPORT MS 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) 3( 8) X( 8) X( 8)
STENNIS MS 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 2( 3) 4( 7) X( 7) X( 7)
BURAS LA 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 6( 7) 5(12) X(12) X(12)
GFAM 280N 890W 34 X 1( 1) 4( 5) 7(12) 4(16) X(16) X(16)
NEW ORLEANS LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
HOUMA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 5( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
GFAM 280N 910W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 7( 9) 1(10) X(10)
BATON ROUGE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
MORGAN CITY LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 1( 5) X( 5)
LAFAYETTE LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) 1( 4)
NEW IBERIA LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4)
GFAM 280N 930W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 3( 5) X( 5)
LAKE CHARLES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 1( 3)
CAMERON LA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 6(10) X(10)
KOUNTZE TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
GALVESTON TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 4( 5) X( 5)
GFAM 280N 950W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
HIGH ISLAND TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
MATAGORDA TX 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 3:48 pm
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2026 111
WTNT22 KNHC 202047
TCMAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022026
2100 UTC MON JUL 20 2026
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 85.8W AT 20/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT 3 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 85.8W AT 20/2100Z
AT 20/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 28.7N 85.7W
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 29.0N 86.2W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 50SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 29.3N 86.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/0600Z 29.6N 87.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 22/1800Z 29.6N 88.5W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 70SE 60SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0600Z 29.6N 89.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 40NE 60SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 29.5N 91.1W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 24/1800Z 29.5N 93.9W...OVER WATER
MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 25/1800Z 29.4N 96.5W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 28.7N 85.8W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 21/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 21/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
Posted on 20 July 2026 | 3:47 pm
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