Abacos Bahamas

Abaco Weather

Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
757880808588898888868380
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
636766707376777576747171
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
6.36.62.81.5115.64.67.45.42.76.84.6
Number of Rain Days
8755111391316695

Abaco Tide Tables

Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast

6/28/2022 Forecast
High: 84 F Low: 78 F Partly sunny

Currently: Clear: 82F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 82 °F and Clear

6/27/2022 Forecast
High: 85 F Low: 79 F A thick cloud cover

Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

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Eleuthera Weather Forecast

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

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NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 272339
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Two, located several hundred miles east of the
southern Windward Islands. Conditions appear conducive for
development, and the disturbance will likely become a tropical storm
during the next several days before reaching the southern Windward
Islands or while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.

Northern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Some slow
development of this system is possible while it moves
west-southwestward at about 10 mph and approaches the coasts of
southern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions could become conducive for some gradual
development later this week while the system moves west-
northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.

&&

Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.

$$
Forecaster Reinhart

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:39 pm

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Graphics

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 27 Jun 2022 23:35:15 GMT

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 27 Jun 2022 21:24:09 GMT

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:35 pm

Summary for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two (AT2/AL022022)

...DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL TO THE NORTH OF FRENCH GUIANA... As of 8:00 PM AST Mon Jun 27 the center of Two was located near 8.8, -51.6 with movement WNW at 18 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:35 pm

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Public Advisory Number 1A

Issued at 800 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022


000
WTNT32 KNHC 272335
TCPAT2
 
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022022
800 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022
 
...DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL TO THE NORTH OF 
FRENCH GUIANA...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.8N 51.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad and Tobago
* Grenada and its dependencies
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, the northern coast of
Venezuela, and the ABC Islands should monitor the progress of this
system.
 
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products 
issued by your national meteorological service.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
8.8 North, longitude 51.6 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next few days.  On the forecast track,
the system will pass near or over portions of the southern Windward
Islands by late Tuesday, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or
near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.
 
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
 
Conditions appear conducive for development, and the disturbance
will likely become a tropical storm before reaching the southern
Windward Islands or while moving westward across the southern 
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent. 

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) to 
the north of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce
heavy rain across the southern Windward Islands and the northeastern
coast of Venezuela starting Tuesday night into Wednesday. The
following storm total rainfall amounts are expected:
 
Islands from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 3 inches.
 
St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 3 to 4 inches.
 
Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, and northeastern Venezuela: 4 to 6
inches.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
by late Tuesday.
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
 
$$
Forecaster Berg
 

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:35 pm

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Forecast Discussion Number 1

Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022


850 
WTNT42 KNHC 272046
TCDAT2
 
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Discussion Number   1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL022022
500 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022
 
A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft just investigated the tropical
wave to the east-southeast of the Windward Islands, and found that
the system has not yet developed a closed circulation.  However the
plane did find an area of tropical-storm-force winds over the
northern portion of the system.  The disturbance is producing some
cells of strong convection, but overall the system is not very well
organized.  Since there is a good chance that the disturbance
will become a tropical storm before reaching the southern Windward
Islands, advisories are being initiated on Potential Tropical
Cyclone Two.  The environment looks fairly favorable for
development, but the numerical guidance is generally not that
bullish on strengthening for the next couple of days.  The official
intensity forecast is similar to the correct consensus model, HCCA.
 
Although the center is not well defined, my best estimate of the
initial motion is about 285/16 kt.  A strong 500 mb subtropical
ridge is likely to remain in place to the north of the system
through the forecast period.  This steering scenario should cause a
west-northwestward to westward track for the next several days.
The official track forecast is close to the dynamical model
consensus.
 
 
KEY MESSAGES:
 
1.  Heavy rainfall is expected over the Windward Islands and
northeastern Venezuela Tuesday night and into Wednesday.
 
2.  Winds to tropical storm force are expected over portions of the
southern Windward Islands beginning late Tuesday and into Wednesday.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  27/2100Z  8.6N  50.9W   35 KT  40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
 12H  28/0600Z  9.3N  53.5W   35 KT  40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
 24H  28/1800Z 10.1N  57.3W   40 KT  45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
 36H  29/0600Z 10.8N  61.4W   40 KT  45 MPH
 48H  29/1800Z 11.4N  65.5W   45 KT  50 MPH
 60H  30/0600Z 11.8N  69.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 72H  30/1800Z 12.1N  72.7W   60 KT  70 MPH
 96H  01/1800Z 12.2N  79.0W   65 KT  75 MPH
120H  02/1800Z 12.3N  84.4W   55 KT  65 MPH...INLAND
 
$$
Forecaster Pasch
 

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 3:46 pm

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Wind Speed Probabilities Number 1

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022


856 
FONT12 KNHC 272046
PWSAT2
                                                                    
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1  
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022               
2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022                                            
                                                                    
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED   
NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.                               
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
GUANAJA        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)
 
PUERTO CABEZAS 34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)  13(15)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
BLUEFIELDS     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  17(18)
BLUEFIELDS     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)
BLUEFIELDS     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   2( 2)
 
SAN ANDRES     34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  11(11)  20(31)
SAN ANDRES     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   9(12)
SAN ANDRES     64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   3( 4)
 
LIMON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   9(10)
LIMON          50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)
 
COLON          34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   4( 4)   4( 8)
 
PT GALLINAS    34  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)  24(24)   5(29)   X(29)
PT GALLINAS    50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)
PT GALLINAS    64  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
CURACAO        34  X   X( X)   X( X)   1( 1)  23(24)   X(24)   X(24)
CURACAO        50  X   X( X)   X( X)   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
SAINT VINCENT  34  X   X( X)   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
GRENADA        34  X   X( X)   8( 8)   6(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
 
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34  X   X( X)  22(22)   2(24)   X(24)   X(24)   X(24)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
PORT OF SPAIN  34  X   X( X)   9( 9)   3(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
 
JUANGRIEGO     34  X   X( X)   1( 1)  19(20)   1(21)   X(21)   X(21)
JUANGRIEGO     50  X   X( X)   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER PASCH                                                    

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 3:46 pm

Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Forecast Advisory Number 1

Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022


000
WTNT22 KNHC 272045
TCMAT2
 
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL022022
2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COAST OF
VENEZUELA...AND THE ABC ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
 
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.6N  50.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.6N  50.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.4N  50.1W
 
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z  9.3N  53.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 10.1N  57.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 10.8N  61.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE   0SE   0SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 11.4N  65.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.8N  69.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...120NE   0SE   0SW  90NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.1N  72.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT...100NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
 
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N  79.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 12.3N  84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.6N  50.9W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 28/0000Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
 
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 

Posted on 27 June 2022 | 3:45 pm

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