Abaco Weather
Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F° |
| 75 | 78 | 80 | 80 | 85 | 88 | 89 | 88 | 88 | 86 | 83 | 80 |
| Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F° |
| 63 | 67 | 66 | 70 | 73 | 76 | 77 | 75 | 76 | 74 | 71 | 71 |
| Monthly Rainfall - Inches |
| 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 11 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Number of Rain Days |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
Abaco Tide Tables
Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast
8/16/2018 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 82 F Sunshine; pleasant 
Currently: Mostly Sunny: 82F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 82 °F and Mostly Sunny
8/15/2018 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 83 F A passing morning shower 
Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast
Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
Eleuthera Weather Forecast
Melbourne Florida Radar Map
Real Time GOES Imagery - Western Atlantic:
Infrared Ch. 2 Loop, Ch. 4 Loop and Water Vapor Loop
NASA's Hurricane Resource Page
Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)
Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
757
ABNT20 KNHC 151129
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 AM EDT Wed Aug 15 2018
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly formed
Subtropical Depression Five located several hundred miles
south-southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
&&
Public Advisories on Subtropical Depression Five are issued under
WMO header WTNT35 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT5.
Forecast/Advisories on Subtropical Depression Five are issued under
WMO header WTNT25 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT5.
$$
Forecaster Brown
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 6:29 am
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018
684
WTNT45 KNHC 150839
TCDAT5
Subtropical Depression Five Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018
500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018
The low pressure system that the National Hurricane Center has been
monitoring over the central Atlantic Ocean has developed
sufficently organized deep convection and a well-defined center.
Since the system has a large radius of maximum wind and is
co-located with an upper-level low, it is being classified as a
subtropical depression. The initial intensity is set to a possibly
conservative 30 kt based on an earlier ASCAT pass. This value
is slightly below the latest satellite intensity estimate from TAFB.
It is interesting to note that so far this hurricane season, four of
the five systems have been a subtropical cyclone at some point in
their lifetimes.
Slow strengthening is possible during the next 24 hours or so while
the system remains over warm SSTs and in fairly low wind shear
conditions. After that time, sharply colder waters, drier air, and
a significant increase in wind shear should cause extratropical
transition in about 48 hours, or sooner, and a gradual weakening.
The models show the post-tropical system merging with a frontal zone
in 3 to 4 days.
The subtropical depression is moving slowly northward at about 4
kt. A north to north-northeastward motion is expected today as the
system moves on the western periphery of a mid-level ridge. A mid-
to upper-level trough currently over the northeastern U.S. is
anticipated to approach the cyclone, and that feature should cause
the system to accelerate northeastward on Thursday and Friday.
The models are in good agreement, and the NHC track forecast lies
near the middle of the guidance envelope.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 15/0900Z 37.6N 45.6W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 15/1800Z 38.5N 45.4W 35 KT 40 MPH
24H 16/0600Z 40.2N 44.4W 45 KT 50 MPH
36H 16/1800Z 42.5N 41.9W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 17/0600Z 45.1N 37.9W 45 KT 50 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 18/0600Z 51.0N 24.0W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:39 am
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Wed, 15 Aug 2018 08:38:30 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Wed, 15 Aug 2018 09:26:41 GMT
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:38 am
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018
226
FONT15 KNHC 150837
PWSAT5
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018
AT 0900Z THE CENTER OF SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 37.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 45.6 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 30 KTS...35 MPH...55 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
06Z WED AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 06Z WED 18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
18Z WED 06Z THU 18Z THU 06Z FRI 06Z SAT 06Z SUN 06Z MON
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:37 am
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
As of 5:00 AM AST Wed Aug 15
the center of Five was located near 37.6, -45.6
with movement N at 5 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 35 mph.
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:37 am
Issued at 500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018
921
WTNT35 KNHC 150837
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Subtropical Depression Five Advisory Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL052018
500 AM AST Wed Aug 15 2018
...SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FORMS OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC...
SUMMARY OF 500 AM AST...0900 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...37.6N 45.6W
ABOUT 1015 MI...1630 KM W OF THE AZORES
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH...55 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 350 DEGREES AT 5 MPH...7 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 500 AM AST (0900 UTC), the center of Subtropical Depression Five
was located near latitude 37.6 North, longitude 45.6 West. The
subtropical depression is moving toward the north near 5 mph (7
km/h), and this general motion with a slight increase in forward
speed is expected today. A faster northeastward motion is forecast
to occur on Thursday and Friday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 35 mph (55 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some strengthening is forecast during the next day or so, and the
subtropical depression is expected to become a subtropical storm
later today.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:37 am
Issued at 0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018
645
WTNT25 KNHC 150836
TCMAT5
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION FIVE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL052018
0900 UTC WED AUG 15 2018
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 45.6W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 350 DEGREES AT 4 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 37.6N 45.6W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 37.3N 45.6W
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 38.5N 45.4W
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 40.2N 44.4W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 42.5N 41.9W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 45.1N 37.9W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 90SE 60SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 51.0N 24.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 0NE 90SE 90SW 0NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 37.6N 45.6W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI
Posted on 15 August 2018 | 3:36 am
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