Abacos Bahamas

Abaco Weather

Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)

JanFebMarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDec
Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F°
757880808588898888868380
Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F°
636766707376777576747171
Monthly Rainfall - Inches
6.36.62.81.5115.64.67.45.42.76.84.6
Number of Rain Days
8755111391316695

Abaco Tide Tables

Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast

7/10/2020 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 82 F A passing shower or two

Currently: Partly Cloudy: 84F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 84 °F and Partly Cloudy

7/9/2020 Forecast
High: 87 F Low: 84 F A morning shower

Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast

Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop

Eleuthera Weather Forecast

Melbourne Florida Radar Map

NASA's Hurricane Resource Page

Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)

Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images

NHC Atlantic

Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico

Local Statement for Philadelphia, PA

Issued at 1109 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 10:09 pm

Tropical Storm Fay Graphics

Tropical Storm Fay 5-Day Uncertainty Track Image
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 10 Jul 2020 02:40:35 GMT

Tropical Storm Fay 34-Knot Wind Speed Probabilities
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 10 Jul 2020 03:24:48 GMT

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 9:40 pm

Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Discussion Number 2

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020


000
WTNT41 KNHC 100239
TCDAT1
 
Tropical Storm Fay Discussion Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020
 
Satellite imagery and surface observations indicate that the
circulation center of Fay is elongated northeast-southwest, with
satellite and radar data showing a strong convective cluster at the
northeastern end of the elongation.  There have been no
observations near the center during the past few hours, and the
initial intensity is held at 40 kt based mainly on continuity from
the previous advisory.  An Air Force reserve Hurricane Hunter
aircraft is currently enroute to investigate Fay.
 
Due to the elongated center and the possibility the center is
trying to re-form near the convection, the initial motion is a
somewhat uncertain 010/7.  There is no change to the forecast
philosophy from the previous advisory, and essentially no change to
the forecast track.  Fay is expected to move generally northward
between a high pressure ridge over the western Atlantic and an
approaching mid-latitude trough for 24-36 h, followed by a turn
toward the north-northeast until dissipation between 60-72 h.  The
guidance is in generally good agreement with this scenario, and the
new forecast lies close to the various consensus models.
 
Fay is currently over the Gulf Stream and within an area of light
to moderate westerly shear caused by an upper-level trough to its
west and southwest.  This is producing an environment that should
allow a little strengthening for the next 12-24 h.  After that, the
storm should weaken as it passes over cooler waters north of the
Gulf Stream, followed by landfall over the northeastern United
States.  The new intensity forecast follows the trend of the
previous forecast in calling for extratropical transition between
48-60 h and dissipation shortly thereafter.
 
Key Messages:
 
1. Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with isolated
totals of 8 inches along and near the track across the mid-Atlantic
states into southeast New York and southern New England. These rains
may result in flash flooding where the heaviest amounts occur.
Widespread river flooding is not expected at this time.
 
2. Tropical storm conditionsare expected along portions of the
mid-Atlantic and northeast coast Friday and Friday night, and a
Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for the coasts of New Jersey,
New York and Connecticut, including Long Island.
 
 
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
 
INIT  10/0300Z 36.3N  74.8W   40 KT  45 MPH
 12H  10/1200Z 37.7N  74.6W   45 KT  50 MPH
 24H  11/0000Z 39.9N  74.1W   45 KT  50 MPH
 36H  11/1200Z 43.0N  73.3W   30 KT  35 MPH...INLAND
 48H  12/0000Z 46.7N  71.7W   25 KT  30 MPH...INLAND
 60H  12/1200Z 50.2N  69.3W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
 72H  13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 9:39 pm

Tropical Storm Fay Wind Speed Probabilities Number 2

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020


000
FONT11 KNHC 100238
PWSAT1
                                                                    
TROPICAL STORM FAY WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER   2              
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062020               
0300 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020                                            
                                                                    
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FAY WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 
36.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 74.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS NEAR  
40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.                                          
                                                                    
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)                  
   ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   EASTERN  DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
   CENTRAL  DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME      
                                                                    
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS                 
                                                                    
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST     
   ...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...                                  
   ...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...                                  
   ...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...                                  
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS               
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE               
    OP  IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING            
        AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)               
   (CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN           
        00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)      
                                                                    
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT                                  
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT                       
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.             
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY              
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.                 
                                                                    
                                                                    
  - - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -   
                                                                    
               FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM    FROM 
  TIME       00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS         TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO      TO  
             12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
                                                                    
FORECAST HOUR    (12)   (24)    (36)    (48)    (72)    (96)   (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - 
LOCATION       KT                                                   
                                                                    
CONCORD NH     34  X   X( X)   5( 5)   2( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
PORTSMOUTH NH  34  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
WORCESTER MA   34  X   X( X)  10(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)   X(10)
WORCESTER MA   50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
SPRINGFIELD MA 34  X   X( X)  18(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)   X(18)
SPRINGFIELD MA 50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
BOSTON MA      34  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
PROVIDENCE RI  34  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
BRIDGEPORT CT  34  X   7( 7)  22(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
BRIDGEPORT CT  50  X   1( 1)   5( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NEW HAVEN CT   34  X   4( 4)  22(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NEW HAVEN CT   50  X   X( X)   6( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
HARTFORD CT    34  X   1( 1)  20(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
HARTFORD CT    50  X   X( X)   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEW LONDON CT  34  X   1( 1)  12(13)   1(14)   X(14)   X(14)   X(14)
NEW LONDON CT  50  X   X( X)   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
ALBANY NY      34  X   X( X)  10(10)   1(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
 
POUGHKEEPSIE   34  X   2( 2)  13(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)   X(15)
POUGHKEEPSIE   50  X   X( X)   4( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
MONTAUK POINT  34  X   4( 4)   8(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)   X(12)
MONTAUK POINT  50  X   1( 1)   2( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
ISLIP NY       34  X  12(12)  19(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)   X(31)
ISLIP NY       50  X   2( 2)   4( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
NYC JFK AIRPRT 34  X  19(19)  13(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)   X(32)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 50  X   5( 5)   3( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)   X( 8)
NYC JFK AIRPRT 64  X   1( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)   X( 1)
 
NYC CNTRL PARK 34  X  11(11)  14(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)   X(25)
NYC CNTRL PARK 50  X   2( 2)   3( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
NEWARK NJ      34  X  10(10)  11(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
NEWARK NJ      50  X   2( 2)   2( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
TRENTON NJ     34  X   8( 8)   3(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)   X(11)
TRENTON NJ     50  X   2( 2)   1( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
NWS EARLE NJ   34  X  20(20)   6(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)   X(26)
NWS EARLE NJ   50  X   3( 3)   2( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
PHILADELPHIA   34  X   6( 6)   1( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)   X( 7)
 
ATLANTIC CITY  34  1  21(22)   1(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)   X(23)
ATLANTIC CITY  50  X   3( 3)   1( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
DOVER DE       34  X   5( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)   X( 5)
 
CAPE HENLOPEN  34 11  10(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)   X(21)
CAPE HENLOPEN  50  1   3( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)   X( 4)
 
OCEAN CITY MD  34 24   5(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)   X(29)
OCEAN CITY MD  50  3   3( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)   X( 6)
 
WALLOPS CDA    34 18   1(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)   X(19)
WALLOPS CDA    50  3   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)   X( 3)
 
$$                                                                  
FORECASTER BEVEN                                                    

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 9:39 pm

Tropical Storm Fay Public Advisory Number 2

Issued at 1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020


000
WTNT31 KNHC 100238
TCPAT1
 
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Fay Advisory Number   2
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL062020
1100 PM EDT Thu Jul 09 2020
 
...FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF NORTHEASTERN
NORTH CAROLINA ...
...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF
THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND...
 
 
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM EDT...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...36.3N 74.8W
ABOUT 85 MI...140 KM NNE OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA
ABOUT 140 MI...225 KM S OF OCEAN CITY MARYLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 10 DEGREES AT 8 MPH...13 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1005 MB...29.68 INCHES
 
 
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
 
None.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
 
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Cape May New Jersey to Watch Hill Rhode Island including Long
Island and Long Island Sound
 
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
 
For storm information specific to your area, including possible
inland watches and warnings, please monitor products issued by your
local National Weather Service forecast office.
 
 
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM EDT (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Fay was
located near latitude 36.3 North, longitude 74.8 West. Fay is moving
toward the north near 8 mph (13 km/h).  A northward to north-
northeastward motion at a faster forward speed is expected over the
next couple of days.  On the forecast track, the center of Fay is
forecast to move near the mid-Atlantic coast on Friday or Friday
night, and move inland over the northeast United States late Friday 
night or on Saturday.

Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts.
Some slight strengthening is forecast tonight and Friday while the
center remains over water.  Weakening should begin after the center
moves inland.
 
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 140 miles (220 km)
mainly to the east and southeast of the center.
 
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1005 mb (29.68 inches).
 
 
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Fay can be found in the Tropical Cyclone
Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT1 and WMO header WTNT41 KNHC.
 
RAINFALL:  Fay is expected to produce 3 to 5 inches of rain with
isolated maxima of 8 inches along and near the track of Fay across
the mid Atlantic states into southeast New York and southern New
England. These rains may result in flash flooding where the heaviest
amounts occur.
 
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to first reach the
coast within the warning area on Friday and spread northward
through the warning area Friday night.
 
STORM SURGE: Minor flooding is possible along the coast for portions
of the Tropical Storm Warning area.
 
TORNADOES: Isolated tornadoes are possible on Friday over portions
of New Jersey, southeast New York, and southern New England.
 
 
 
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 AM EDT.
Next complete advisory at 500 AM EDT.
 
$$
Forecaster Beven
 

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 9:39 pm

Summary for Tropical Storm Fay (AT1/AL062020)

...FAY CONTINUING TO MOVE NORTHWARD TO THE EAST OF NORTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA ... ...EXPECTED TO BRING HEAVY RAINFALL AND GUSTY WINDS TO PORTIONS OF THE MID-ATLANTIC COAST AND SOUTHERN NEW ENGLAND... As of 11:00 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 the center of Fay was located near 36.3, -74.8 with movement N at 8 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1005 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 9:39 pm

Tropical Storm Fay Forecast Advisory Number 2

Issued at 0300 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020


851 
WTNT21 KNHC 100238
TCMAT1
 
TROPICAL STORM FAY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062020
0300 UTC FRI JUL 10 2020
 
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
 
NONE.
 
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE MAY NEW JERSEY TO WATCH HILL RHODE ISLAND INCLUDING LONG
ISLAND AND LONG ISLAND SOUND
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N  74.8W AT 10/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  35 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR  10 DEGREES AT   7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......100NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.3N  74.8W AT 10/0300Z
AT 10/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.9N  74.8W
 
FORECAST VALID 10/1200Z 37.7N  74.6W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/0000Z 39.9N  74.1W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 11/1200Z 43.0N  73.3W...INLAND
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 46.7N  71.7W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 50.2N  69.3W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.
 
FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z...DISSIPATED
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.3N  74.8W
 
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT31 KNHC/MIATCPAT1...AT 10/0600Z
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 10/0900Z
 
$$
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 9:38 pm

Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook


000
ABNT20 KNHC 092343
TWOAT

Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on newly-formed
Tropical Storm Fay, located about 70 miles northeast of Cape
Hatteras, North Carolina.

Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next five
days.

&&
Public Advisories on Tropical Storm Fay are issued under WMO header
WTNT31 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT1.
Forecast/Advisories on Tropical Storm Fay are issued under WMO
header WTNT21 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT1.

$$
Forecaster Beven

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 6:43 pm

Local Statement for New York City, NY

Issued at 602 PM EDT Thu Jul 9 2020

Posted on 9 July 2020 | 5:02 pm

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