Abaco Weather
Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F° |
| 75 | 78 | 80 | 80 | 85 | 88 | 89 | 88 | 88 | 86 | 83 | 80 |
| Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F° |
| 63 | 67 | 66 | 70 | 73 | 76 | 77 | 75 | 76 | 74 | 71 | 71 |
| Monthly Rainfall - Inches |
| 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 11 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Number of Rain Days |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
Abaco Tide Tables
Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast
11/23/2019 Forecast
High: 77 F Low: 73 F Partly sunny and delightful 
Currently: Mostly Clear: 71F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 71 °F and Mostly Clear
11/22/2019 Forecast
High: 75 F Low: 71 F Sunshine and beautiful 
Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast
Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
Intellicast Caribbean Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
Eleuthera Weather Forecast
Melbourne Florida Radar Map
NASA's Hurricane Resource Page
Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)
Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
000
ABNT20 KNHC 220520
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
100 AM EST Fri Nov 22 2019
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Sebastien, located several hundred miles northeast of the
northern Leeward Islands.
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 5 days.
$$
Forecaster Cangialosi
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 11:20 pm
Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Nov 21 2019
000
WTNT45 KNHC 220247
TCDAT5
Tropical Storm Sebastien Discussion Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019
1100 PM AST Thu Nov 21 2019
Sebastien continues to produce a central dense overcast and a large
band on the southeastern side of the circulation. Recent
scatterometer data indicate that the maximum winds are at least 45
kt and, since there has been little overall change in the satellite
presentation within the past several hours, the initial wind speed
will stay 50 kt.
Two notable changes have been made on this forecast. As
foreshadowed in the previous forecast, the models are no longer
rapidly accelerating the storm to the northeast ahead of a
mid-latitude trough. Instead, there is better agreement tonight on a
steadier motion to the northeast due to the trough in the short
term. Sebastien will then continue moving northeastward embedded in
the mid-latitude southwesterly flow over the weekend. The new
forecast is substantially slower than the last one, but is still on
the faster side of the guidance due to continuity concerns.
The second significant change is that Sebastien is no longer
expected to become a hurricane. The cyclone will soon be moving
over sub-26C waters with strong shear, and it seems unlikely to
intensify much in these conditions. Model intensity guidance
continues to decrease, and the NHC forecast follows that trend.
Weakening should start by the weekend over even cooler waters in a
high-shear environment, and these factors are forecast to cause
Sebastien to transition into a non-convective low or extratropical
cyclone in 36-48 h. Careful watchers of the forecast will note that
NHC has predicted extratropical transition at 48 h since Sebastien
was born over 48 h ago, and this timing has been pushed back
primarily due to the slower-than-expected motion. Thus, this timing
can't be considered a particularly confident prediction until the
track forecast becomes more consistent.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 22/0300Z 24.7N 57.8W 50 KT 60 MPH
12H 22/1200Z 26.0N 55.5W 55 KT 65 MPH
24H 23/0000Z 28.0N 51.7W 55 KT 65 MPH
36H 23/1200Z 30.3N 47.7W 45 KT 50 MPH
48H 24/0000Z 32.7N 43.4W 40 KT 45 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
72H 25/0000Z 37.5N 34.0W 35 KT 40 MPH...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
96H 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
$$
Forecaster Blake
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 8:47 pm
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Fri, 22 Nov 2019 02:46:38 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 22 Nov 2019 03:24:22 GMT
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 8:46 pm
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019
685
FONT15 KNHC 220246
PWSAT5
TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019
AT 0300Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.8 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 50 KTS...60 MPH...95 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
00Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 00Z FRI 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 00Z MON 00Z TUE 00Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
SANTA CRUZ AZO 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 8:46 pm
...SEBASTIEN MOVING FASTER WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY...
As of 11:00 PM AST Thu Nov 21
the center of Sebastien was located near 24.7, -57.8
with movement NE at 18 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 999 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 60 mph.
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 8:45 pm
Issued at 1100 PM AST Thu Nov 21 2019
000
WTNT35 KNHC 220245
TCPAT5
BULLETIN
Tropical Storm Sebastien Advisory Number 11
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL202019
1100 PM AST Thu Nov 21 2019
...SEBASTIEN MOVING FASTER WITH NO CHANGE IN INTENSITY...
SUMMARY OF 1100 PM AST...0300 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...24.7N 57.8W
ABOUT 565 MI...905 KM NE OF THE NORTHERN LEEWARD ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NE OR 55 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 1100 PM AST (0300 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Sebastien
was located near latitude 24.7 North, longitude 57.8 West. Sebastien
is moving toward the northeast near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this
motion is expected to continue with an increase in forward speed
during the next few days.
Maximum sustained winds remain near 60 mph (95 km/h) with higher
gusts. Little change in strength is forecast overnight, with
weakening beginning by the weekend.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 160 miles (260 km)
from the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
None
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 500 AM AST.
$$
Forecaster Blake
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 8:45 pm
Issued at 0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019
000
WTNT25 KNHC 220245
TCMAT5
TROPICAL STORM SEBASTIEN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL202019
0300 UTC FRI NOV 22 2019
THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 57.8W AT 22/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 55 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 50 KT WITH GUSTS TO 60 KT.
50 KT....... 0NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......120NE 140SE 50SW 70NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE 90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.7N 57.8W AT 22/0300Z
AT 22/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 24.3N 58.6W
FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 26.0N 55.5W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...120NE 140SE 60SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 28.0N 51.7W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 60SE 20SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 30.3N 47.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 140SE 60SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 32.7N 43.4W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 120SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 37.5N 34.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 120SE 90SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 26/0000Z...DISSIPATED
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.7N 57.8W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/0900Z
$$
FORECASTER BLAKE
Posted on 21 November 2019 | 8:45 pm
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