Abaco Weather
Average Weather for Abacos (Green Turtle Cay)
| Jan | Feb | Mar | Apr | May | Jun | Jul | Aug | Sep | Oct | Nov | Dec |
| Mean Daily Maximum Temperature - F° |
| 75 | 78 | 80 | 80 | 85 | 88 | 89 | 88 | 88 | 86 | 83 | 80 |
| Mean Daily Minimum Temperature - F° |
| 63 | 67 | 66 | 70 | 73 | 76 | 77 | 75 | 76 | 74 | 71 | 71 |
| Monthly Rainfall - Inches |
| 6.3 | 6.6 | 2.8 | 1.5 | 11 | 5.6 | 4.6 | 7.4 | 5.4 | 2.7 | 6.8 | 4.6 |
| Number of Rain Days |
| 8 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 11 | 13 | 9 | 13 | 16 | 6 | 9 | 5 |
Abaco Tide Tables
Green Turtle Cay, Abacos, Bahamas Weather Forecast
6/28/2022 Forecast
High: 84 F Low: 78 F Partly sunny 
Currently: Clear: 82F
Currently in Green Turtle Cay, BS: 82 °F and Clear
6/27/2022 Forecast
High: 85 F Low: 79 F A thick cloud cover 
Whitesound, Elbow Cay, Bahamas Weather Forecast
Intellicast Atlantic Weather Radar Map - Hi Res Loop
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Eleuthera Weather Forecast
Melbourne Florida Radar Map
NASA's Hurricane Resource Page
Sea Surface Temperatures (expressed in Celcius degrees)
Space, Science & Engineering's Interactive Geostationary Real Time Satellite Images
Active tropical cyclones in the Atlantic, Caribbean, and the Gulf of Mexico
000
ABNT20 KNHC 272339
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
800 PM EDT Mon Jun 27 2022
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
East of the Windward Islands:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Potential
Tropical Cyclone Two, located several hundred miles east of the
southern Windward Islands. Conditions appear conducive for
development, and the disturbance will likely become a tropical storm
during the next several days before reaching the southern Windward
Islands or while moving westward across the southern Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Northern Gulf of Mexico:
Disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the north-central Gulf
of Mexico are associated with a trough of low pressure. Some slow
development of this system is possible while it moves
west-southwestward at about 10 mph and approaches the coasts of
southern Texas and northeastern Mexico during the next few days.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
Central Tropical Atlantic:
A tropical wave located several hundred miles southwest of the Cabo
Verde Islands is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms.
Environmental conditions could become conducive for some gradual
development later this week while the system moves west-
northwestward at around 15 mph over the central tropical Atlantic.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...20 percent.
&&
Public Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
under WMO header WTNT32 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCPAT2.
Forecast/Advisories on Potential Tropical Cyclone Two are issued
under WMO header WTNT22 KNHC and under AWIPS header MIATCMAT2.
$$
Forecaster Reinhart
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:39 pm
5-Day Uncertainty Track last updated Mon, 27 Jun 2022 23:35:15 GMT
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Mon, 27 Jun 2022 21:24:09 GMT
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:35 pm
...DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL TO THE NORTH OF FRENCH GUIANA...
As of 8:00 PM AST Mon Jun 27
the center of Two was located near 8.8, -51.6
with movement WNW at 18 mph.
The minimum central pressure was 1009 mb
with maximum sustained winds of about 40 mph.
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:35 pm
Issued at 800 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022
000
WTNT32 KNHC 272335
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Intermediate Advisory Number 1A
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022022
800 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022
...DISTURBANCE MOVING WEST-NORTHWESTWARD WELL TO THE NORTH OF
FRENCH GUIANA...
SUMMARY OF 800 PM AST...0000 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...8.8N 51.6W
ABOUT 670 MI...1080 KM E OF TRINIDAD
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH...65 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...WNW OR 285 DEGREES AT 18 MPH...30 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES
WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:
None.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Tropical Storm Warning is in effect for...
* Trinidad and Tobago
* Grenada and its dependencies
A Tropical Storm Warning means that tropical storm conditions are
expected somewhere within the warning area within 36 hours.
Interests elsewhere in the Windward Islands, the northern coast of
Venezuela, and the ABC Islands should monitor the progress of this
system.
For storm information specific to your area, please monitor products
issued by your national meteorological service.
DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
At 800 PM AST (0000 UTC), the disturbance was centered near latitude
8.8 North, longitude 51.6 West. The system is moving toward the
west-northwest near 18 mph (30 km/h), and this general motion is
expected to continue for the next few days. On the forecast track,
the system will pass near or over portions of the southern Windward
Islands by late Tuesday, and move over the southern Caribbean Sea or
near the northern coast of Venezuela on Wednesday and Thursday.
Maximum sustained winds are near 40 mph (65 km/h) with higher
gusts. Some strengthening is forecast during the next 48 hours.
Conditions appear conducive for development, and the disturbance
will likely become a tropical storm before reaching the southern
Windward Islands or while moving westward across the southern
Caribbean Sea.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...high...70 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...high...90 percent.
Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 60 miles (95 km) to
the north of the center.
The estimated minimum central pressure is 1009 mb (29.80 inches).
HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
Key messages for Potential Tropical Cyclone Two can be found in the
Tropical Cyclone Discussion under AWIPS header MIATCDAT2 and WMO
header WTNT42 KNHC.
RAINFALL: The Potential Tropical Cyclone is expected to produce
heavy rain across the southern Windward Islands and the northeastern
coast of Venezuela starting Tuesday night into Wednesday. The
following storm total rainfall amounts are expected:
Islands from Guadeloupe to St. Lucia: 1 to 3 inches.
St. Vincent, the Grenadines, and Barbados: 3 to 4 inches.
Grenada, Trinidad and Tobago, and northeastern Venezuela: 4 to 6
inches.
WIND: Tropical storm conditions are expected in the warning area
by late Tuesday.
NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next complete advisory at 1100 PM AST.
$$
Forecaster Berg
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 6:35 pm
Issued at 500 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022
850
WTNT42 KNHC 272046
TCDAT2
Potential Tropical Cyclone Two Discussion Number 1
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL AL022022
500 PM AST Mon Jun 27 2022
A NOAA Hurricane Hunter aircraft just investigated the tropical
wave to the east-southeast of the Windward Islands, and found that
the system has not yet developed a closed circulation. However the
plane did find an area of tropical-storm-force winds over the
northern portion of the system. The disturbance is producing some
cells of strong convection, but overall the system is not very well
organized. Since there is a good chance that the disturbance
will become a tropical storm before reaching the southern Windward
Islands, advisories are being initiated on Potential Tropical
Cyclone Two. The environment looks fairly favorable for
development, but the numerical guidance is generally not that
bullish on strengthening for the next couple of days. The official
intensity forecast is similar to the correct consensus model, HCCA.
Although the center is not well defined, my best estimate of the
initial motion is about 285/16 kt. A strong 500 mb subtropical
ridge is likely to remain in place to the north of the system
through the forecast period. This steering scenario should cause a
west-northwestward to westward track for the next several days.
The official track forecast is close to the dynamical model
consensus.
KEY MESSAGES:
1. Heavy rainfall is expected over the Windward Islands and
northeastern Venezuela Tuesday night and into Wednesday.
2. Winds to tropical storm force are expected over portions of the
southern Windward Islands beginning late Tuesday and into Wednesday.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 27/2100Z 8.6N 50.9W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
12H 28/0600Z 9.3N 53.5W 35 KT 40 MPH...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
24H 28/1800Z 10.1N 57.3W 40 KT 45 MPH...TROPICAL CYCLONE
36H 29/0600Z 10.8N 61.4W 40 KT 45 MPH
48H 29/1800Z 11.4N 65.5W 45 KT 50 MPH
60H 30/0600Z 11.8N 69.1W 45 KT 50 MPH
72H 30/1800Z 12.1N 72.7W 60 KT 70 MPH
96H 01/1800Z 12.2N 79.0W 65 KT 75 MPH
120H 02/1800Z 12.3N 84.4W 55 KT 65 MPH...INLAND
$$
Forecaster Pasch
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 3:46 pm
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022
856
FONT12 KNHC 272046
PWSAT2
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022
2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022
AT 2100Z THE CENTER OF POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 8.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 50.9 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 35 KTS...40 MPH...65 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
ATLANTIC STANDARD TIME (AST)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
EASTERN DAYLIGHT TIME (EDT)...SUBTRACT 4 HOURS FROM Z TIME
CENTRAL DAYLIGHT TIME (CDT)...SUBTRACT 5 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
18Z MON AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 18Z MON 06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
06Z TUE 18Z TUE 06Z WED 18Z WED 18Z THU 18Z FRI 18Z SAT
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
GUANAJA 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4)
PUERTO CABEZAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2) 13(15)
PUERTO CABEZAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
BLUEFIELDS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 17(18)
BLUEFIELDS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6)
BLUEFIELDS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 2( 2)
SAN ANDRES 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 11(11) 20(31)
SAN ANDRES 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 9(12)
SAN ANDRES 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4)
LIMON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 9(10)
LIMON 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 3( 3)
COLON 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) X( X) 4( 4) 4( 8)
PT GALLINAS 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 24(24) 5(29) X(29)
PT GALLINAS 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) 1( 7) X( 7)
PT GALLINAS 64 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) X( 1) X( 1)
CURACAO 34 X X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 23(24) X(24) X(24)
CURACAO 50 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 6( 6) X( 6) X( 6)
SAINT VINCENT 34 X X( X) 2( 2) 1( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
GRENADA 34 X X( X) 8( 8) 6(14) X(14) X(14) X(14)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 34 X X( X) 22(22) 2(24) X(24) X(24) X(24)
TRINIDADTOBAGO 50 X X( X) 3( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3) X( 3)
PORT OF SPAIN 34 X X( X) 9( 9) 3(12) X(12) X(12) X(12)
JUANGRIEGO 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 19(20) 1(21) X(21) X(21)
JUANGRIEGO 50 X X( X) X( X) 3( 3) 1( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 3:46 pm
Issued at 2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022
000
WTNT22 KNHC 272045
TCMAT2
POTENTIAL TROPICAL CYCLONE TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022022
2100 UTC MON JUN 27 2022
CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...
THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO HAS ISSUED A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FOR TRINIDAD...TOBAGO...AND GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES.
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* TRINIDAD AND TOBAGO
* GRENADA AND ITS DEPENDENCIES
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN 36 HOURS.
INTERESTS ELSEWHERE IN THE WINDWARD ISLANDS...THE NORTHERN COAST OF
VENEZUELA...AND THE ABC ISLANDS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.
POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 50.9W AT 27/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 16 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 8.6N 50.9W AT 27/2100Z
AT 27/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 8.4N 50.1W
FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 9.3N 53.5W...POTENTIAL TROP CYCLONE
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 10.1N 57.3W...TROPICAL CYCLONE
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 0SE 0SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 10.8N 61.4W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE 0SE 0SW 70NW.
FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 11.4N 65.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 11.8N 69.1W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...120NE 0SE 0SW 90NW.
FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 12.1N 72.7W
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE 0SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT...100NE 0SE 0SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 12.2N 79.0W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 12.3N 84.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 8.6N 50.9W
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY...WTNT32 KNHC/MIATCPAT2...AT 28/0000Z
NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER PASCH
Posted on 27 June 2022 | 3:45 pm
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